Yemen’s currency conflict deepens crisis in war-torn country | Business and Economy News


Along with a seven-year military conflict, the Yemeni government and Houthi rebels are engaged in a battle on another front – a currency war that has opened a chasm in riyal values.

The government and the Iranian-backed Houthis used the same banknotes until the end of 2019, when the rebels banned the printing of new banknotes in the government-run city of Aden due to concerns about inflation.

The resulting difference in money supply has since seen the value of the riyal drop to around 1,000 to the dollar in government areas, while the value in Houthi-controlled areas has remained relatively stable at 600.

Citizens and businesses in government and rebel-controlled areas have been left behind by the divergence, but especially those in the former, given soaring inflation there.

This internal exchange rate has also complicated trade and led to manipulation by profiteers to the detriment of most in a country on the brink of famine.

“Right now, we have… an exchange rate of the same currency within the country,” said Amal Nasser, an economist at the Sanaa Center for Strategic Studies. “It’s bizarre from an economic point of view.”

According to Nasser, other experts and Yemeni citizens, the gap between the two currency values ​​meant higher transfer costs between the two areas.

Inflationary stimulation

The conflict in Yemen has divided the country between the largely Houthi-controlled north and the south under the internationally recognized government that transferred the central bank to Aden after the armed group captured Sana’a in 2014.

The war has pushed the nation, long the poorest in the Arabian Peninsula, to the brink of famine and economic collapse, with most schools, factories, hospitals and businesses destroyed or closed.

As the riyal has fallen to new lows in recent weeks in government areas, the central bank pledged to withdraw the string of banknotes that had accumulated in its territory after the Houthi ban in late 2019. .

Aden’s central bank was caught off guard as it expected the new banknotes to eventually spread evenly across the two zones, but the concentration of supply in the government zone fueled inflation there and spurred the divergence in exchange rates.

The government introduced a stock of what it claims to be “old banknotes” this month, angering rebels who accused it of minting new “counterfeit” currency.

Rebel authorities have also banned its use and provided civilians with guides to identify “fakes” – something experts said would be difficult for an average citizen to do.

“Obviously, this new injection of money will negatively affect the economy, increase inflation and affect the purchasing power of citizens,” said Alaa al-Haj, a resident of Aden.

Yemenis were already battling the skyrocketing cost of living in a country where more than 80% of the population depends on international aid.

The Houthis allege a ruse

The Houthis accused Goznak, a Russian state-owned company, of colluding with the central bank of Aden to print “large amounts of counterfeit money” this year – “especially 1000 riyal notes” to pass the new tickets as old.

Wahid al-Fawdai, adviser to the central bank, said that the banknotes recently put into circulation by the government had been in central bank reserves for several years. Goznak and the central bank made no comment.

Social media and newspapers are replete with stories of profiteers exploiting the unstable economic situation.

Some people have used the credit spreads as a cash-out opportunity, including using the newly issued “old” notes in Aden to redeem those printed after 2017 at a discount of around 20%.

Analysts said the new “old” notes are likely to penetrate largely undetected into Houthi areas because they are difficult to distinguish from previous old notes.

Ultimately, this should help the central bank close the exchange rate gap between the two zones, they said.

Yemeni fighter poses outside the oil-rich town of Marib amid months-long offensive by Houthi rebels [Nariman el-Mofty/AP]


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